GRACE Score among Six Risk Scoring Systems (CADILLAC, PAMI, TIMI, Dynamic TIMI, Zwolle) Demonstrated the Best Predictive Value for Prediction of Long-Term Mortality in Patients with ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction

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Publikace nespadá pod Ekonomicko-správní fakultu, ale pod Lékařskou fakultu. Oficiální stránka publikace je na webu muni.cz.
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LITTNEROVÁ Simona KALA Petr JARKOVSKÝ Jiří KUBKOVÁ Lenka KLUZ Krystyna KUBENA Petr TESÁK Martin TOMAN Ondřej POLOCZEK Martin ŠPINAR Jindřich DUŠEK Ladislav PAŘENICA Jiří

Rok publikování 2015
Druh Článek v odborném periodiku
Časopis / Zdroj Plos one
Fakulta / Pracoviště MU

Lékařská fakulta

Citace
Doi http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0123215
Obor Kardiovaskulární nemoci včetně kardiochirurgie
Klíčová slova PERCUTANEOUS CORONARY INTERVENTION; OUTCOMES; REGISTRY; THERAPY; TRIAL; MODEL
Popis To compare the prognostic accuracy of six scoring models for up to three-year mortality and rates of hospitalisation due to acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) in STEMI patients. Methods and Results A total of 593 patients treated with primary PCI were evaluated. Prospective follow-up of patients was >= 3 years. Thirty-day, one-year, two-year, and three-year mortality rates were 4.0%, 7.3%, 8.9%, and 10.6%, respectively. Six risk scores-the TIMI score and derived dynamic TIMI, CADILLAC, PAMI, Zwolle, and GRACE-showed a high predictive accuracy for six- and 12-month mortality with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values of 0.73-0.85. The best predictive values for long-term mortality were obtained by GRACE. The next best-performing scores were CADILLAC, Zwolle, and Dynamic TIMI. All risk scores had a lower prediction accuracy for repeat hospitalisation due to ADHF, except Zwolle with the discriminatory capacity for hospitalisation up to two years (AUC, 0.80-0.83). Conclusions All tested models showed a high predictive value for the estimation of one-year mortality, but GRACE appears to be the most suitable for the prediction for a longer follow-up period. The tested models exhibited an ability to predict the risk of ADHF, especially the Zwolle model.
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