RBC model vs. New Keynesian model: time series analysis of Czech data

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REICHEL Vlastimil HLOUŠEK Miroslav

Rok publikování 2014
Druh Článek ve sborníku
Konference Proceedings of 32nd International Conference Mathematical Methods in Economics
Fakulta / Pracoviště MU

Ekonomicko-správní fakulta

Citace
www Conference proceedings
Obor Ekonomie
Klíčová slova VAR model; Real Business Cycle Theory; New Keynesian Theory
Popis The aim of this paper is to analyse the macroeconomic data of Czech economy and to discuss whether they correspond to RBC or New Keynesian theory. Firstly, we focus on non-neutrality of monetary policy. Secondly, using Blanchar-Quah decomposition in bivariate VAR model we identify technology and nontechnology shocks. The technology shocks produces negative correlation between hours worked and productivity, while nontechnology shocks implies positive correlation between these two variables. This result is in contrast with RBC model which shows positive correlation between hours worked and productivity in reaction to technology shocks, as main source of fluctuations. On the other hand, New Keynesians models are consistent with these empirical findings.
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