3. 12. Marco Maria Sorge: Indeterminacy, Misspecification and Forecastability: Good Luck in Bad Policy? (Seminář z cyklu MUES) Marco Maria Sorge at IDEAS Abstract: A recent debate in the forecasting literature revolves around the inability of macroeconometric models to improve on simple univariate predictors, since the onset of... od 13:00
4. 12. Andreas Bergh: Explaining the labor market gaps between immigrants and natives in the OECD (Seminář z cyklu MUES) Andreas Bergh at IDEAS In most OECD-countries, immigrants have lower employment and higher unemployment than natives. On average, the gap in labor market outcomes is larger in countries with more immigrant... od 13:00
10. 12. Jana Závacká: Endogenous Economic Cycles: An Agent-based Model Of Consumers’ Confidence (Seminář z cyklu MUES) Abstract: The main goal of this paper is to present consumers’ confidence as an important source of cyclical economic activity. We use a simplified agent-based model with a single production sector and... od 12:00
10. 12. Anca Covrigová: „Naše-vaše integrace“ aneb jak to vidí Češi (Seminář z cyklu MUES) Jedna z nejčastějších definic integrace (včetně integrace menšinových skupin do majoritní společnosti) vychází z konceptu oboustranného procesu. Jinými slovy, má-li být integrace úspěšná, je třeba, aby... od 14:35
11. 12. Jaroslav Bil: Rocket and Feather Effect in Retail Gasoline Market : Evidence from the Czech Republic (Seminář z cyklu MUES) This study investigate price adjustement in retail gasoline market in Czech Republic. Using weekly aggregated panel data of 1285 gas stations over years 2008-2013 error-corection model is estimated to... od 11:30
17. 12. Peter Molnár: Google searches and stock returns (Seminář z cyklu MUES) We investigate whether Google searches can be used to forecast stock returns. We find that short-term (daily and weekly) increase in search activity leads to negative excess stock returns with subsequent... od 14:00