Habit Formation, Price Indexation and Wage Indexation in the DSGE Model: Specification, Estimation and Model Fit

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SLANICAY Martin VAŠÍČEK Osvald

Rok publikování 2011
Druh Článek v odborném periodiku
Časopis / Zdroj Národohospodářský obzor – Review of Economic Perspectives
Fakulta / Pracoviště MU

Ekonomicko-správní fakulta

Citace
www http://nho.econ.muni.cz/2011/2011-2/habit-formation-price-indexation-and-wage-indexation-dsge-model-specification-estimation
Obor Ekonomie
Klíčová slova New Keynesian DSGE model; habit formation; price indexation; wage indexation; model comparison; Bayes factor
Popis In order to determine which specification provides better fit of the data, this paper presents several specifications of a closed economy DSGE model with nominal rigidities. The goal of this paper is to find out whether some characteristics widely used in New Keynesian DSGE models, such as habit formation in consumption, price indexation and wage indexation, provide better fit of the macroeconomic data. Model specifications are estimated on the data of the US economy and Euro Area 12 economy, using Bayesian techniques, particularly the Metropolis Hastings algorithm. The data fit measure is a Bayes factor calculated from marginal likelihoods. Results suggest that including habit formation in consumption significantly improves the empirical data fit of the model, whereas including partial price indexation and partial wage indexation does not improve the empirical data fit of the model. Variants with full price indexation and full wage indexation were the worst ones concerning their data fit.
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