Effects of a red card on goal-scoring in World Cup football matches
| Authors | |
|---|---|
| Year of publication | 2018 |
| Type | Article in Periodical |
| Magazine / Source | Empirical Economics |
| MU Faculty or unit | |
| Citation | |
| Doi | http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00181-017-1287-5 |
| Keywords | Association football; Goal-scoring; Red card; World Cup football matches |
| Attached files | |
| Description | We examine the effect of the sending-off of a player on the goal-scoring rates in FIFA World Cup matches in tournaments from 1998 to 2014. We use a hazard rate framework in which the effect of a red card is modeled as a shift in the goal-scoring rate. A red card may harm the team that receives a red card and may be beneficial for their opponent. Indeed, we find that the goal-scoring rate of the sanctioned team goes down, while the goal-scoring rate of the non-sanctioned team goes up. |